1. Kev tshem tawm txoj cai "kev them nqi hluav taws xob raws sijhawm" tab tom dhau los ua ib qho kev hloov pauv. Thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2025, Pawg Neeg Saib Xyuas Kev Txhim Kho thiab Kev Hloov Kho Hauv Tebchaws thiab Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Lub Zog Hauv Tebchaws tau tshaj tawm "Daim Ntawv Ceeb Toom Txog Kev Ua Haujlwm Zoo hauv Kev Kos Npe thiab Ua tiav Cov Ntawv Cog Lus Hluav Taws Xob Nruab Nrab thiab Ntev rau xyoo 2026" thiab "Cov Cai Tseem Ceeb rau Kev Lag Luam Hluav Taws Xob Nruab Nrab thiab Ntev", ob qho tib si tau hais meej meej:
Hauv paus ntsiab lus, cov neeg koom nrog kev ua lag luam ncaj qha yuav tsis siv tus nqi hluav taws xob thaum lub sijhawm siv uas tsoomfwv tau teev tseg lawm.
Txhim kho txoj kev teeb tsa tus nqi hluav taws xob nruab nrab thiab ntev. Txhua thaj tsam yuav tsum xyuas kom meej tias muaj kev sib haum xeeb ntawm txoj cai tswj tus nqi hluav taws xob thaum lub sijhawm siv hluav taws xob siab tshaj plaws thiab thaum lub sijhawm hav zoov thiab tus nqi hluav taws xob ntawm kev lag luam hauv khw. Hauv paus ntsiab lus, cov neeg koom nrog kev lag luam ncaj qha yuav tsis raug rau tus nqi hluav taws xob thaum lub sijhawm siv hluav taws xob uas tsoomfwv tau teev tseg lawm. Ob tog ntawm cov ntawv cog lus nruab nrab thiab ntev raug txhawb kom kos npe rau cov ntawv cog lus uas teb rau kev muab khoom hauv khw.
Rau cov lag luam uas koom nrog kev lag luam hauv kev ua lag luam ncaj qha, yuav tsis muaj cov kev cai cuav ntawm qib thiab lub sijhawm ntawm kev siv hluav taws xob. Rau cov neeg siv hluav taws xob los ntawm cov neeg sawv cev hauv network, lub chaw haujlwm nqi ntawm tsoomfwv yuav sib koom tes thiab ua kom zoo dua qhov kev faib ntawm lub sijhawm siab tshaj plaws thiab lub sijhawm tsis siab tshaj plaws thiab qhov sib piv ntawm kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi raws li qib nqi hauv kev ua lag luam.
Tom qab ntawd, hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm kev siv cov kev lag luam nruab nrab thiab ntev rau xyoo 2026 hauv Liaoning, Sichuan, Shaanxi, Yunnan, Henan, thiab Shanxi xeev, nws kuj tau hais meej meej yam tsis muaj kev zam tias qib thiab lub sijhawm ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob siv sijhawm yuav tsis raug teev tseg rau cov lag luam koom nrog ncaj qha hauv kev lag luam. Qhov no tsis tau txhais hais tias cov nqi hluav taws xob siv sijhawm yuav ploj mus, tab sis lawv cov txheej txheem tsim tau dhau los ua qhov kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb - los ntawm "kev txiav txim siab ntawm tsoomfwv" mus rau "kev txiav txim siab ntawm kev lag luam". Nyob rau hauv kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev muab hluav taws xob thiab kev thov kev sib raug zoo thiab kev lag luam kev lag luam, cov nqi hluav taws xob siab tshaj plaws, ib txwm muaj, thiab tsis yog lub sijhawm siab tshaj plaws yuav tsim raws li kev muab khoom thiab kev thov kev lag luam, thiab kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi hluav taws xob yuav qhia meej dua txog cov xwm txheej kev lag luam tiag tiag.
Txawm li cas los xij, tus nqi hluav taws xob raws li lub sijhawm siv (TOU) kuj tau ua rau muaj ob qho teeb meem loj rau tus qauv "peak-valley arbitrage" ntawm cov txheej txheem khaws cia hluav taws xob hauv kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam.
Lub sijhawm tswj hwm tsis ruaj khov, ua rau nws nyuaj rau phim qhov xav tau hluav taws xob. Cov txheej txheem khaws cia hluav taws xob ib txwm muaj feem ntau ua qhov them thiab tso tawm raws sijhawm teem tseg, uas ua rau nws nyuaj rau txuas nrog cov kab siv hluav taws xob tiag tiag ntawm cov neeg siv. Tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv qhov xwm txheej "photovoltaic + khaws cia hluav taws xob", qhov tsis muaj peev xwm hloov kho tau yooj yim tuaj yeem ua rau kev siv hluav taws xob tsawg lossis ua tsis tau raws li qhov xav tau hluav taws xob.
2) Kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi hluav taws xob nce ntxiv, ua rau kev sib pauv khoom nyuaj dua. Nrog rau kev sib txuas ntawm tus nqi hluav taws xob siv sijhawm thiab kev ua lag luam tam sim ntawd, tus nqi hluav taws xob yuav hloov pauv txhua teev lossis txawm tias 15 feeb, nrog rau tus nqi hluav taws xob siab tshaj 1 yuan / kWh. Thaum lub sijhawm tsim hluav taws xob photovoltaic siab, tus nqi hluav taws xob tsis zoo yuav tshwm sim. Cov tswv yim ruaj khov ib txwm muaj teeb meem los hloov kho rau qhov chaw muaj nqi hluav taws xob nyuaj. Yog li, nyob rau hauv lub tshuab tshiab ntawm kev ua lag luam hluav taws xob, kev khaws cia hluav taws xob hauv kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam yuav tsum nrhiav cov lus pom zoo tshiab li cas?
II. Los ntawm "Peak-Valley Arbitrage" mus rau "Microgrid Balancer" Kev paub los ntawm kev lag luam hluav taws xob paub tab hauv Tebchaws Europe qhia tau hais tias qib siab ntawm kev lag luam, qhov dav dua ntawm cov xwm txheej siv thiab qhov tseem ceeb ntawm cov txheej txheem khaws cia hluav taws xob. Lawv lub luag haujlwm yog hloov pauv los ntawm ib qho cuab yeej yooj yim "peak-valley arbitrage" mus rau "lub cuab yeej ntse rau kev faib tawm photovoltaic thiab cov khoom siv khaws cia hluav taws xob microgrids".
1. Poland: Tus nqi hluav taws xob nruab nrab rau cov neeg siv tau txo qis 50%, thiab cov nyiaj tau los ntawm photovoltaic (PV) tau nce ntau dua 200%! Txij li xyoo 2025, Polish Electricity Exchange tau siv tus nqi hluav taws xob dynamic, nrog rau cov nqi hloov pauv hauv lub sijhawm tiag tiag. Ib tus neeg siv nyob hauv Warsaw, lub peev, tau teeb tsa lub tshuab cia hluav taws xob Siggy uas muaj cov tswv yim teem sijhawm AI, tsim kom muaj lub microgrid cia PV me me ntse. Thaum lub sijhawm teem sijhawm hluav taws xob ruaj khov, tus nqi pub PV tsuas yog 0.22–0.44 zlotys ib kWh. Tom qab hloov mus rau tus nqi hluav taws xob dynamic thiab kev koom ua ke ntawm lub tshuab cia PV ntse, los ntawm kev khaws cia hluav taws xob thiab cov tswv yim teem sijhawm ntse, nws muaj peev xwm "khaws hluav taws xob" thaum lub qhov rais nqi qis thiab "tso tawm" thaum lub sijhawm nqi siab, ua tiav kev txuag nqi hluav taws xob thiab kev txhim kho cov nyiaj tau los. Cov ntaub ntawv ua haujlwm ib xyoos qhia tau hais tias tus nqi yuav hluav taws xob ntawm tus neeg siv tau txo qis mus txog kwv yees li 0.55 zlotys ib kWh, txo qis yuav luag 50%; Tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm PV pub rau hauv tau nce mus txog 1.09 zlotys ib kWh, cov nyiaj tau los tau nce 220% -300%, thiab tus nqi siv tus kheej tau nce ntau dua 200%.
2. Sweden: Cov txheej txheem Smart PV-ESS txo cov nqi hluav taws xob ntawm cov neeg siv los ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm 52.7%! Txawm hais tias ib qho project hauv Poland tej zaum yuav yog ib qho teeb meem cais tawm, cov ntaub ntawv txheeb cais los ntawm ntau dua 2,500 project hauv Sweden yog sawv cev dav dua. Tsis ntev los no, Siger New Energy tau ua qhov kev tshuaj xyuas cov ntaub ntawv ua haujlwm los ntawm ntau dua 2,500 smart PV-ESS project hauv Sweden thiab pom tias cov nqi hluav taws xob ntawm cov neeg siv tau txo qis los ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm 70.3%! Kev lag luam hluav taws xob Sweden tau muab faib ua plaub thaj tsam (SE1-SE4) raws li cov qauv ua haujlwm ntawm lub grid, thiab ntau dua 2,500 qhov project ywj pheej tau muab faib thoob plaws plaub thaj tsam no. Txhua tus neeg siv tau raug qeb los ntawm qhov qis tshaj plaws mus rau qhov siab tshaj plaws cov nyiaj tau los tiag tiag, raws li pom hauv daim duab hauv qab no.
Cov ntaub ntawv qhia tau hais tias qhov nruab nrab ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob rau cov neeg siv yog 70.3%, nrog rau qhov nruab nrab ntawm 52.7%. Qhov sib txawv no tsis yog los ntawm kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov neeg tsis sib xws, tab sis los ntawm qhov tseeb tias qee tus neeg siv hauv thaj chaw uas muaj kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi hluav taws xob ntau dua tau ua tiav cov nyiaj rov qab ntau dua.
1. Kev xa hluav taws xob raws li AI: Kev nkag siab txog tus nqi hluav taws xob thiab kev siv hluav taws xob kom ua tiav kev txo nqi thiab kev txhim kho kev ua haujlwm zoo hauv ib puag ncig tus nqi hluav taws xob tsis tuaj yeem ua tiav yam tsis muaj kev txhawb nqa tob ntawm AI thev naus laus zis. Lub photovoltaic ntse thiab lub zog khaws cia ua tiav cov peev xwm tseem ceeb hauv qab no los ntawm ntau tus qauv fusion thiab kev kawm txhawb nqa:
1) Kev Kawm Txog Kev Siv Hluav Taws Xob: Kawm tas li txog kev siv hluav taws xob ntawm txhua qhov project, txheeb xyuas qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm kev siv hluav taws xob, cov qauv siv hluav taws xob thaum hmo ntuj, qhov sib txawv ntawm hnub ua haujlwm thiab hnub so, thiab lwm yam, los tsim ib daim ntawv qhia txog kev siv hluav taws xob uas haum rau tus kheej heev.
2) Kev kwv yees txog kev tsim hluav taws xob photovoltaic: Muab cov ntaub ntawv huab cua los ua ke kom kwv yees tau qhov tso zis photovoltaic kom raug;
3) Kev kwv yees tus nqi hluav taws xob: Kwv yees qhov kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi hluav taws xob raws li cov ntaub ntawv ua lag luam thiab tsim cov tswv yim them thiab tso tawm zoo tshaj plaws;
4) Kev kho kom zoo dua qub thiab kev teeb tsa yooj ywm: Siv ntau hom kev sib xyaw ua ke, sib xyaw ua ke kev kwv yees huab cua thiab kev ua qauv coj tus cwj pwm thauj khoom, thiab tsim cov kev teem sijhawm zoo tshaj plaws los ntawm kev kawm txhawb nqa thiab kev sim ua lub cev; tib lub sijhawm, txhawb nqa kev hloov kho tswv yim txhua hnub thiab ua kom muaj kev teem sijhawm raws li tus neeg siv nyiam. Yav tom ntej, thaum cov qauv AI txuas ntxiv hloov pauv thiab cov tswv yim algorithm tau kho kom zoo tas li, cov tshuab photovoltaic thiab cov tshuab khaws cia hluav taws xob yuav txav mus los ntawm "siv tau" mus rau "siv tau zoo", pab ntau tus neeg siv ua tiav kev siv hluav taws xob ntse tiag tiag thiab cov txiaj ntsig mus sij hawm ntev.
IV. Lub Tshuab Hluav Taws Xob Photovoltaic thiab Lub Tshuab Khaws Cia Zog Microgrid, Txhawb Kom Muaj Zog Rau Cov Hoobkas Uas Tsis Muaj Carbon! Tuam Tshoj Txoj Kev Npaj Tsib Xyoo Thib 15 tau hais meej meej txog kev tsim cov peev txheej hluav taws xob faib tawm thiab kev tsim cov Hoobkas thiab cov chaw ua si uas tsis muaj carbon. Thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2025, Pawg Neeg Saib Xyuas Kev Txhim Kho thiab Kev Hloov Kho Hauv Tebchaws, Ministry of Industry thiab Information Technology, thiab National Energy Administration tau tshaj tawm 52 lub chaw ua si uas tsis muaj carbon hauv tebchaws. Thaum Lub Ib Hlis 2026, Ministry of Industry thiab Information Technology thiab lwm plaub lub chaw haujlwm tau tshaj tawm "Cov Lus Qhia Txog Kev Ua Haujlwm Tsim Cov Hoobkas Uas Tsis Muaj Carbon," uas hais tias yuav muaj ntau lub Hoobkas uas tsis muaj carbon hauv xya lub lag luam loj, suav nrog photovoltaics, roj teeb lithium, thiab tsheb, txog xyoo 2027; thiab yuav nthuav dav mus rau 12 lub lag luam loj txog xyoo 2030. Nws tuaj yeem kwv yees tau tias cov chaw ua si thiab cov chaw ua si uas tsis muaj carbon uas tsom mus rau "kev thauj khoom hluav taws xob" yuav dhau los ua ib qho ntawm cov xwm txheej tseem ceeb rau lub zog tshiab yav tom ntej. Cov qauv xws li kev sib txuas hluav taws xob ntsuab ncaj qha thiab cov microgrids ntse yuav coj mus rau hauv cov cib fim tseem ceeb hauv kev txhim kho thiab dhau los ua cov qauv kev txhim kho tseem ceeb rau lub zog tshiab. Hauv qab cov xwm txheej thiab cov qauv no, lawv cov kev xav tau tseem ceeb yog sib xws nrog cov neeg siv hauv Poland thiab Sweden: ua tiav cov nqi hluav taws xob zoo tshaj plaws hauv ib puag ncig kev lag luam uas muaj nqi hluav taws xob hloov pauv tag nrho. Kev paub los ntawm kev lag luam txawv teb chaws qhia tau hais tias cov photovoltaic ntse thiab cov microgrids khaws cia hluav taws xob tuaj yeem txo cov nqi hluav taws xob ntawm cov neeg siv thiab ua rau cov nyiaj rov qab los ntawm cov haujlwm photovoltaic nce ntxiv; ntxiv rau, qhov kev hloov pauv ntau dua ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob, qhov zoo dua qhov kev siv! Tam sim no, ntau dua 17,000 lub chaw tsim hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb tau txais cov qauv AI, npog cov xwm txheej nkag mus rau tus nqi hluav taws xob hloov pauv hauv 47 lub tebchaws, tsim kom muaj ntau theem thiab siv tau AI daim ntawv thov system.
Xaus lus
Nyob zoo rau tus nqi hluav taws xob uas siv raws li txoj cai tswjfwm, thiab txais tos rau lub sijhawm ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev hloov pauv hluav taws xob. Qhov no tsis yog qhov kawg ntawm tus nqi ntawm photovoltaic (PV) thiab cov txheej txheem khaws cia hluav taws xob, tab sis yog qhov pib tiag tiag ntawm lub sijhawm ntse zog. Los ntawm kev teem sijhawm AI thiab kev sib koom tes microgrid, PV thiab cov txheej txheem khaws cia hluav taws xob tab tom hloov pauv los ntawm "cov khoom siv khaws cia hluav taws xob" mus rau "cov khoom siv hluav taws xob ntse", ntes tus nqi ntawm kev hloov pauv thiab rov kho dua yav tom ntej los ntawm kev hloov pauv.
Lub sijhawm tshaj tawm: Lub Ib Hlis-23-2026